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  #81  
Old 08-27-2008, 07:53 PM
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x5GuyInLA x5GuyInLA is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FSETH
Not trying to beat a dead horse, but it is buyers and sellers who set the market. The seller always wants high and the buyer always wants low. It is the agreed upon price of the TWO parties that sets the market. Without sellers it would only be demand, not supply and demand.
i understand what you're saying about supply and demand...but having an agreement on a price is not the same as setting the market. say a seller lists a home for $500K, but ends up selling it for $450K, who determined that price? it isn't the seller because he wanted $500K. it's the buyer because that's all they are willing to pay. if the seller had any control over setting the market, he would have gotten his $500K and not settled for the lower price, and perhaps selling it for less then they bought it for. if sellers set the market, there would be no short sales or foreclosures because all they would do is put it at a price that would cover their loans and expenses. Maybe we're saying the same thing and it's just semantics, but the only role the seller has in our current market is agreeing to take a price that a buyer is willing to pay.
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  #82  
Old 08-27-2008, 08:10 PM
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Originally Posted by x5GuyInLA
i understand what you're saying about supply and demand...but having an agreement on a price is not the same as setting the market. say a seller lists a home for $500K, but ends up selling it for $450K, who determined that price? it isn't the seller because he wanted $500K. it's the buyer because that's all they are willing to pay. if the seller had any control over setting the market, he would have gotten his $500K and not settled for the lower price, and perhaps selling it for less then they bought it for. if sellers set the market, there would be no short sales or foreclosures because all they would do is put it at a price that would cover their loans and expenses. Maybe we're saying the same thing and it's just semantics, but the only role the seller has in our current market is agreeing to take a price that a buyer is willing to pay.

Not true. People list at a higher value than what they really want to get for something knowing that negotiations will take place. Maybe in your example the seller wanted to get $450,000 so he asked for $500,000 in the first place?

Short sales and foreclosures are not sales at market value. Those would be examples of below market value sales or distressed sales. Read my post #69 for a complete definition of what market value is. It is pretty clear. The key to market value is a typically motivated buyer and seller. Not an extremely motivated seller as with a short sale or foreclosure.

Also in your example, maybe the seller really "wanted" to only pay $425,000 for the property and ended up being willing to pay $450,000? At the end of the day it is a compromise between what the buyer and seller wants. Market value is set at the point which both feel an acceptible compromise.

Please re-read post #69. It is a good definition.
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  #83  
Old 08-27-2008, 08:41 PM
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x5Guy, I am not trying to be an ass, but of course the seller wants $8 billion for his house and the buyer wants to get it for free, but the price point at which the buyer and seller agree and are willing to "sell" and "buy" is market value. Keep in mind that the seller and buyer have to be typically motivated. The market value is the point at which those two parties agree. Without the seller you don't have that point and without the buyer you don't have that point. It really takes 2 to tango and they are both equally involved in the process.
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  #84  
Old 08-27-2008, 11:14 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FSETH
Not true. People list at a higher value than what they really want to get for something knowing that negotiations will take place. Maybe in your example the seller wanted to get $450,000 so he asked for $500,000 in the first place?

Short sales and foreclosures are not sales at market value. Those would be examples of below market value sales or distressed sales. Read my post #69 for a complete definition of what market value is. It is pretty clear. The key to market value is a typically motivated buyer and seller. Not an extremely motivated seller as with a short sale or foreclosure.

Also in your example, maybe the seller really "wanted" to only pay $425,000 for the property and ended up being willing to pay $450,000? At the end of the day it is a compromise between what the buyer and seller wants. Market value is set at the point which both feel an acceptible compromise.

Please re-read post #69. It is a good definition.
I don't think you're being an ass, and hopefully I'm not being one, but I guess we're all agreeing to disagree.

I think you missed an important aspect of what defines market value. "the price represents the normal considerations for the property sold unaffected by special or creative financing or sales concessions granted by anyone associated with the sale." the frenzy market was created by this exact phrase. you say that short sales and foreclosures are below market value sales, but once they close, isn't that where the market is at? if my neighbor bought his home for $500K, why would I want to pay more than that for a comparable home? i have a client in escrow right now who is paying essentially 25% below what a comparable unit sold for in the building last year, and this is not a distress sale (list price was about 18% below the sold unit). while that maybe below market, that price will dictate what other units will sell for in the area. so if a future seller tries to get a price that is significantly higher, he would be hard pressed to find a buyer that will pay that much more than the last sale.

Quote:
Originally Posted by FSETH
x5Guy, I am not trying to be an ass, but of course the seller wants $8 billion for his house and the buyer wants to get it for free, but the price point at which the buyer and seller agree and are willing to "sell" and "buy" is market value. Keep in mind that the seller and buyer have to be typically motivated. The market value is the point at which those two parties agree. Without the seller you don't have that point and without the buyer you don't have that point. It really takes 2 to tango and they are both equally involved in the process.
I agree that where the market is is where the buyer and seller agree. yes it takes 2 to tango, but one always leads and is in control. before it was the seller, now it's the buyer. maybe our markets are different. here in LA, if you price your home over market, you've pretty much killed any chance of selling your home at market value. perfect example is my aunt who is also an agent tried selling their home for almost $4 mil. I told her it's not worth more than $3.5 in this market. she got an offer for $3.4 and didn't take it because she thought it was too low...now 8 months later, she can't even sell it for $3.2. the market was at $3.4 and not the $4 mil she felt her home is worth. hindsight is 20/20 and i know she'd take $3.4 in heartbeat now.
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  #85  
Old 08-28-2008, 01:04 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by x5GuyInLA
I don't think you're being an ass, and hopefully I'm not being one, but I guess we're all agreeing to disagree.

I think you missed an important aspect of what defines market value. "the price represents the normal considerations for the property sold unaffected by special or creative financing or sales concessions granted by anyone associated with the sale." the frenzy market was created by this exact phrase. you say that short sales and foreclosures are below market value sales, but once they close, isn't that where the market is at? if my neighbor bought his home for $500K, why would I want to pay more than that for a comparable home? i have a client in escrow right now who is paying essentially 25% below what a comparable unit sold for in the building last year, and this is not a distress sale (list price was about 18% below the sold unit). while that maybe below market, that price will dictate what other units will sell for in the area. so if a future seller tries to get a price that is significantly higher, he would be hard pressed to find a buyer that will pay that much more than the last sale.


I agree that where the market is is where the buyer and seller agree. yes it takes 2 to tango, but one always leads and is in control. before it was the seller, now it's the buyer. maybe our markets are different. here in LA, if you price your home over market, you've pretty much killed any chance of selling your home at market value. perfect example is my aunt who is also an agent tried selling their home for almost $4 mil. I told her it's not worth more than $3.5 in this market. she got an offer for $3.4 and didn't take it because she thought it was too low...now 8 months later, she can't even sell it for $3.2. the market was at $3.4 and not the $4 mil she felt her home is worth. hindsight is 20/20 and i know she'd take $3.4 in heartbeat now.

If the market is completely flooded with foreclosures, then yes the foreclosures can become the market, or market value. There are only a handfull of areas in Atlanta where this is the case. For example, if I am looking at sales in a development/neighborhood and only a few are foreclosures, then I will throw those sales out and stick with typical arm's-length transactions with typically motivated buyer and sellers, but if I pull sales in the same area and see that nearly all of the sales were bank owned, then I will use the foreclosure and call them market value. Essentially, there is a point when foreclosed sales do become market value if the market is saturated with them.

Your particular client who is purchasing at 25% below the value of the last sale is one example. Maybe the other sellers will decide to sit on their property a little longer and get a little more for their units. Maybe they won't. Maybe they will let them go as well, but whatever price they decide to let them go at is market value and what they determined was fair at the moment for their property. Whether the market is declining or increasing, the seller still has to agree to sell at that price. Market value is not just the ideal price someone desires, it is what price they are willing to buy and sell at.

A good point that you made is that there are buyers and sellers markets. We are definately in a buyers market right now, where the buyer does have the upper hand. They still don't "set" the prices by themselves. They just have a little more leverage than the sellers at this moment as supply is high.

Sorry, edit.

Last edited by FSETH : 08-28-2008 at 01:18 AM.
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  #86  
Old 08-28-2008, 08:56 AM
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this thread took off. Great discussions
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  #87  
Old 08-28-2008, 09:26 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FSETH

A good point that you made is that there are buyers and sellers markets. We are definately in a buyers market right now, where the buyer does have the upper hand. They still don't "set" the prices by themselves. They just have a little more leverage than the sellers at this moment as supply is high.

Interesting thread.

On a side note, downtown Boston areas (Beacon hill, South End, Back Bay) are still bucking this trend.....sales price/square foot is up (~7% in '07 and ~5% so far in '08), inventory is down, foreclosures are almost non existent, and bidding wars over asking are still happening.

For those of you that live in the other traditionally high property markets - SF, Manhattan, DC etc. are you seeing the same trend?
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  #88  
Old 08-28-2008, 09:42 AM
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Originally Posted by Boston X5 4.4
Interesting thread.

On a side note, downtown Boston areas (Beacon hill, South End, Back Bay) are still bucking this trend.....sales price/square foot is up (~7% in '07 and ~5% so far in '08), inventory is down, foreclosures are almost non existent, and bidding wars over asking are still happening.

Yeah, you are right. I just meant the national market generally speaking.

There are plenty of aeras around metro Atlanta where values are appreciating. That is why I said foreclosures and short sales were not market value in most cases. From my experience, many more areas are holding steady and increasing than decreasing.

Last edited by FSETH : 08-28-2008 at 09:48 AM.
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